Bitcoin Market Cycle Dashboard

Explore Bitcoin’s historical four-year cycle, market phases, halving returns, drawdowns, bottom ROI, and top-to-top comparisons.These charts provide historical context and do not guarantee future timing.

Current Cycle Phase

Bear Market

Cycle Clock

Last Cycle Bottom21 Nov 2022

Projected Next Cycle Bottom6 Oct 2026

Last Halving20 Apr 2024

Cycle Day1,378 / 1,415

Full Cycle Progress97%

Days Until Projected Next Bottom37

Historical Rhythm

Typical Bear Phase~365 days / ~52 weeks

Typical Expansion Phase~1064 days / ~152 weeks

Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Timeline

A phase map based on elapsed time since the last modeled cycle bottom.

Cycle view

We are here

21 Nov 20226 Oct 2026

Phase guide · Bear Market

6 Oct 2025 → 6 Oct 2026

What to consider

Study why risk appetite is falling.
Risk management can matter more than chasing returns.

Watch out for

Panic decisions and leverage can compound losses.
Weak projects often fail as liquidity leaves.

Actions

Review portfolio risk and position sizing.
Build a fundamentals-led watchlist.

Bitcoin Market Cycle Bottom ROI

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Bitcoin Market Cycle Peak Drawdown

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Bitcoin Price After Halvings

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Bitcoin Top-to-Top Cycle ROI

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About the Bitcoin Cycle